How Fed Rate Decision Impact PAX Gold Price: Will it Crash or Surge?

Wall Street's eyes are on one thing today: the Fed. The FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee, the group that sets US interest rates) hands down its rate decision this afternoon, and gold-backed PAXG is already stirring ahead of it. This PAX Gold price prediction looks at whether $PAXG can ride the Fed decision into a breakout or gets pulled back down with it. Market data was checked on September 16, 2026, at 12:53 UTC. PAX Gold Price Prediction Today: Market Overview Metric Value Price $4,332.22 24h Change +0.83% Market Cap $1.88B FDV $1.88B 24h Volume $207.21M Vol/Mkt Cap (24h) 11% Liq/Mkt Cap 1.05% Total Supply 434.49M $PAXG Max Supply ∞ (uncapped) Circulating Supply 434.49M $PAXG Holders 87.46K Source: Data from CoinMarketCap as of September 16, 2026, at 12:53 IST. Figures may vary slightly across other tracking websites. Gold Price Performance ($PAXG) Period Change 4 Hour +1.01% 24 Hour +0.83% 7 Day -0.52% 30 Day -0.72% 90 Day +1.57% 180 Day -6.91% Year to Date +0.06% 1 Year +17.55% All Time +184.50% PAX Gold News Today: All Eyes on the Fed Decision Today's crypto news is dominated by the FOMC meeting, with the Federal Reserve's rate decision due this afternoon. Gold-linked assets like $PAXG tend to react fast to Fed moves, since a rate cut typically weakens the dollar and lifts gold, while a hold or hawkish tone can do the opposite. No decision has landed yet, so the current PAXG move reflects positioning ahead of the announcement rather than a reaction to it. The FOMC meeting schedule and rate decision timing are referenced from the Federal Reserve's official monetary policy calendar (federalreserve.gov). Gold News & Price Reaction: Rate Hike vs Hold vs Cut FOMC Outcome Likely Dollar/Gold Reaction $PAXG Level to Watch Rate Hike Dollar tends to strengthen, gold often comes under pressure Risk of a slide toward $4,316.24, with $4,265.94 as the next stop Hold (No Change) Muted reaction while markets wait on the Fed's guidance and tone Likely range-bound between $4,316 and $4,359 until the next catalyst Rate Cut Dollar tends to soften, gold typically gets a bid Push toward $4,359.21, with $4,442.13 in play if momentum builds None of these is a certainty. Gold's reaction often depends less on the decision itself and more on whether it matches what traders had already priced in. PAX Gold Liquidation & Volume Today Liquidation Data From Coinglass Timeframe Total Rekt Long Short 1h $8.60K $8.60K $0 4h $25.95K $8.62K $17.33K 12h $550.21K $531.93K $18.28K 24h $576.38K $558.00K $18.38K Long liquidations jumped sharply over the 12h and 24h windows compared to 1h and 4h, suggesting leveraged longs got flushed out heading into the FOMC decision.