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Bitcoin traded at $80,520, down 1.18% over 24 hours, as the weekend opens on one of the highest-stakes technical junctures of 2026: a weekly close on October 25 that analysts say could either stabilize the current decline or confirm a deeper leg lower. The crypto Fear & Greed Index sits at 51, classified as Neutral, masking a sharp deterioration in short-term positioning data that points to elevated directional risk into Sunday's candle close. What to Know About Bitcoin's Pivotal Weekend Three data points frame the setup. First, Bitcoin failed to hold the $83,000 level and is now testing $80,000 as immediate support, per reporting from BeInCrypto via Yahoo Finance. Second, the weekly close on October 25 carries outsized weight because that is the candle technicians will use to validate or dismiss current trend readings. Third, this weekend arrives two trading days before the Federal Reserve's October 27-28 FOMC meeting, compressing the margin for error. For related coverage, see Chamath Says AI Could Hack Bitcoin and Send It to Zero. A weekly close above $83,000 would re-establish that level as support and reduce the probability of a cascading move below $80,000. A close below it would not confirm a crash, but it would materially strengthen the case that the rally from mid-2026 lows has stalled. The distinction between elevated downside concern and a confirmed breakdown matters: short-term crypto volatility can resolve in either direction within hours. BTC spot price $80,520 24-hour change: −1.18% · Market-data snapshot supplied for this report Bitcoin's total market capitalization stood at approximately $1.619 trillion at the time of this snapshot, with 24-hour trading volume of $22.03 billion. That volume level is consistent with a market in wait-and-see mode rather than active capitulation, though it also signals insufficient buying conviction to defend recent price levels. Why Crash Fears Are Putting Bitcoin Under Pressure Analyst Benjamin Cowen, writing under the handle IntoTheCryptoverse, said a weekly close below $83,000 on October 25 would strengthen his negative outlook for the remainder of 2026, according to the BeInCrypto report. That threshold is now roughly $2,500 above spot, meaning the current weekly candle would need a roughly 3% recovery before Sunday's UTC close to avoid triggering that signal. The macro backdrop compounds the technical pressure. The Federal Reserve raised its federal-funds target range by 25 basis points to 3.75% to 4.00% on September 16, citing persistently elevated inflation. With the next FOMC meeting scheduled for October 27-28, markets are pricing in the possibility of a further tightening signal. Higher rates reduce the relative appeal of non-yielding assets, and risk assets including Bitcoin have historically repriced lower in the 48-72 hours surrounding hawkish Fed communications. Energy markets added a secondary headwind.

عنوان اصلی (انگلیسی): Bitcoin Faces Make-or-Break Weekend as Crash Fears Grow

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